Chief Meteorologist Patrick Powell’s Winter Forecast calls for above average temperatures. So far in the month of November, we’ve been headed in the right direction. Temperatures have been well above average in Green Bay.  Our average high, through the first 17 days of November is 53°. Meanwhile, the normal high for this time of the year is 42°.

But it hasn’t just been the high temperatures that have been warm. Our low temperatures are also running above average. Right now, the average monthly temperature is running 5.7° warmer than normal.

With this in mind, it is no surprise that Green Bay is on pace to be the third warmest November on record. Of course, for that to happen, the area would have to continue to see the kind of temperatures witnessed through the first half of the month. Something that looks unlikely, with long-range models pointing to a cool down at some point during the week of Thanksgiving.

With all the beautiful November weather, it is easy to forget October. October was characterized by cool, cloudy and wet weather. The average monthly temperature was 44.2° which was 3.2° cooler than normal – making it the 13th coolest October on record.

When looking back one more month in Fall, the weather roller coaster continues. September will be remembered for sunny and warm weather. The average monthly temperature was 2.5° warmer than normal – a level which would have been much higher if the month hadn’t ended with three consecutive days in the 50s.

And so the season of Fall has developed a pattern. Conditions changed from dry and warm in September to cool and wet in October… and now back to dry and warm in November. The next question, will the pattern continue?

Until Next Time,
Meteorologist Andrew Thut